AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe

AFC Wimbledon24%
Draw23%
Wycombe53%

1.12 expected goals for AFC Wimbledon

1.96 expected goals for Wycombe

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Wycombe has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a AFC Wimbledon win at 24%. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
Over 2.5 goals52%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals37%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen

Both teams score54%
AFC Wimbledon or draw47%
Draw or Wycombe76%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

5.4 for AFC Wimbledon and 4.8 for Wycombe

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners54%
Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for AFC Wimbledon and 2.2 for Wycombe

Over 3.5 cards58%
Over 4.5 cards38%
Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

27.3 expected

12.6 for AFC Wimbledon and 14.7 for Wycombe

Over 20.5 shots82%
Over 22.5 shots73%
Over 24.5 shots63%

Fouls

23.8 expected

12.7 for AFC Wimbledon and 11.1 for Wycombe

Over 20.5 fouls72%
Over 22.5 fouls58%
Over 24.5 fouls43%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.