Saturday 24 October, 09:00
Final score
Walsall2-4Salford City
The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a Walsall win (38%).
Walsall vs Salford City
- Walsall38%
- Draw28%
- Salford City34%
1.18 expected goals for Walsall
1.18 expected goals for Salford City
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 10.7 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals69%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals44%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals21%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals9%It happened
- Both teams score50%
- Walsall or draw66%
- Draw or Salford City62%
- No draw72%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.7 expected
5.8 for Walsall and 4.9 for Salford City
- Over 8.5 corners68%
- Over 9.5 corners58%
- Over 10.5 corners48%
Cards
4.2 expected
1.9 for Walsall and 2.2 for Salford City
- Over 3.5 cards60%
- Over 4.5 cards41%
- Over 5.5 cards24%
Shots
26.9 expected
13.7 for Walsall and 13.2 for Salford City
- Over 20.5 shots81%
- Over 22.5 shots72%
- Over 24.5 shots61%
Fouls
21.9 expected
11.8 for Walsall and 10.0 for Salford City
- Over 20.5 fouls59%
- Over 22.5 fouls43%
- Over 24.5 fouls29%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.