Saturday 24 October, 09:00
Final score
Rotherham3-3Shrewsbury
The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a Rotherham win (40%).
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury
- Rotherham40%
- Draw28%
- Shrewsbury32%
1.33 expected goals for Rotherham
1.18 expected goals for Shrewsbury
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Rotherham has the edge (40%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Shrewsbury win at 32%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.0 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals72%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals46%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals24%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals11%It happened
- Both teams score51%
- Rotherham or draw68%
- Draw or Shrewsbury60%
- No draw73%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.0 expected
5.0 for Rotherham and 5.0 for Shrewsbury
- Over 8.5 corners62%
- Over 9.5 corners52%
- Over 10.5 corners42%
Cards
4.4 expected
2.0 for Rotherham and 2.4 for Shrewsbury
- Over 3.5 cards64%
- Over 4.5 cards45%
- Over 5.5 cards28%
Shots
23.7 expected
11.6 for Rotherham and 12.1 for Shrewsbury
- Over 20.5 shots67%
- Over 22.5 shots55%
- Over 24.5 shots42%
Fouls
26.8 expected
12.9 for Rotherham and 13.9 for Shrewsbury
- Over 20.5 fouls87%
- Over 22.5 fouls77%
- Over 24.5 fouls64%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.