Saturday 24 October, 09:00
Final score
Northampton2-0Colchester
The model gave this result 31%. Its most likely result was a Colchester win (40%).
Northampton vs Colchester
- Northampton31%
- Draw29%
- Colchester40%
0.79 expected goals for Northampton
1.10 expected goals for Colchester
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Colchester has the edge (40%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Northampton win at 31%. It expects 1.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 37% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%. And about 9.2 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals84%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals57%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals37%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals12%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals4%It did not happen
- Both teams score45%
- Northampton or draw60%
- Draw or Colchester69%
- No draw71%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.2 expected
5.4 for Northampton and 3.9 for Colchester
- Over 8.5 corners54%
- Over 9.5 corners44%
- Over 10.5 corners34%
Cards
4.3 expected
2.0 for Northampton and 2.2 for Colchester
- Over 3.5 cards61%
- Over 4.5 cards42%
- Over 5.5 cards26%
Shots
23.2 expected
12.4 for Northampton and 10.8 for Colchester
- Over 20.5 shots64%
- Over 22.5 shots52%
- Over 24.5 shots39%
Fouls
26.3 expected
13.4 for Northampton and 12.9 for Colchester
- Over 20.5 fouls85%
- Over 22.5 fouls74%
- Over 24.5 fouls61%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.