Gillingham vs Grimsby

Gillingham34%
Draw26%
Grimsby40%

1.33 expected goals for Gillingham

1.62 expected goals for Grimsby

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.3 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
Over 2.5 goals51%It happened
Over 3.5 goals34%It happened
Over 4.5 goals18%It happened

Both teams score54%
Gillingham or draw60%
Draw or Grimsby66%
No draw74%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.3 expected

5.1 for Gillingham and 4.3 for Grimsby

Over 8.5 corners55%
Over 9.5 corners45%
Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

4.6 expected

2.3 for Gillingham and 2.2 for Grimsby

Over 3.5 cards67%
Over 4.5 cards48%
Over 5.5 cards31%

Shots

24.0 expected

11.4 for Gillingham and 12.6 for Grimsby

Over 20.5 shots69%
Over 22.5 shots57%
Over 24.5 shots44%

Fouls

25.3 expected

13.8 for Gillingham and 11.5 for Grimsby

Over 20.5 fouls80%
Over 22.5 fouls68%
Over 24.5 fouls54%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.