Probably Football

Matches

League Two (England)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Bristol Rovers0-0Swindon Town

The model gave this result 27%. Its most likely result was a Bristol Rovers win (39%).

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town

  1. Bristol Rovers39%
  2. Draw27%
  3. Swindon Town34%

1.37 expected goals for Bristol Rovers

1.30 expected goals for Swindon Town

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals75%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals28%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

6.1 for Bristol Rovers and 4.0 for Swindon Town

  1. Over 8.5 corners63%
  2. Over 9.5 corners53%
  3. Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for Bristol Rovers and 2.2 for Swindon Town

  1. Over 3.5 cards58%
  2. Over 4.5 cards38%
  3. Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

25.8 expected

15.1 for Bristol Rovers and 10.7 for Swindon Town

  1. Over 20.5 shots77%
  2. Over 22.5 shots66%
  3. Over 24.5 shots54%

Fouls

22.3 expected

11.2 for Bristol Rovers and 11.1 for Swindon Town

  1. Over 20.5 fouls62%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls47%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls32%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.