Spartak Moscow vs Rubin

Spartak Moscow64%
Draw16%
Rubin20%

2.19 expected goals for Spartak Moscow

0.70 expected goals for Rubin

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Spartak Moscow the clear favourite: 64% to win. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals79%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals51%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Both teams score45%
Spartak Moscow or draw80%
Draw or Rubin36%
No draw84%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

6.0 for Spartak Moscow and 4.2 for Rubin

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners54%
Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.3 expected

2.0 for Spartak Moscow and 2.4 for Rubin

Over 3.5 cards63%
Over 4.5 cards44%
Over 5.5 cards27%

Shots

26.2 expected

17.1 for Spartak Moscow and 9.1 for Rubin

Over 20.5 shots78%
Over 22.5 shots68%
Over 24.5 shots56%

Fouls

27.9 expected

12.6 for Spartak Moscow and 15.3 for Rubin

Over 20.5 fouls90%
Over 22.5 fouls82%
Over 24.5 fouls71%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.