Probably Football

Matches

Cup (Russia)

Tuesday 27 October, 11:00

Final score

FC Rostov6-1Akron

The model's most likely result happened: a FC Rostov win (38%).

FC Rostov vs Akron

  1. FC Rostov38%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Akron33%

1.31 expected goals for FC Rostov

1.07 expected goals for Akron

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%. And about 9.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals69%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals42%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals22%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals9%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.1 expected

4.9 for FC Rostov and 4.2 for Akron

  1. Over 8.5 corners52%
  2. Over 9.5 corners42%
  3. Over 10.5 corners32%

Cards

4.4 expected

1.8 for FC Rostov and 2.6 for Akron

  1. Over 3.5 cards64%
  2. Over 4.5 cards44%
  3. Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

23.1 expected

12.7 for FC Rostov and 10.4 for Akron

  1. Over 20.5 shots64%
  2. Over 22.5 shots51%
  3. Over 24.5 shots39%

Fouls

26.5 expected

13.7 for FC Rostov and 12.7 for Akron

  1. Over 20.5 fouls86%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls75%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls62%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.