Wolves vs Watford

Wolves64%
Draw21%
Watford15%

2.43 expected goals for Wolves

0.75 expected goals for Watford

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Wolves the clear favourite: 64% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals83%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals53%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals39%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen

Both teams score50%
Wolves or draw85%
Draw or Watford35%
No draw79%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

5.5 for Wolves and 4.0 for Watford

Over 8.5 corners57%
Over 9.5 corners46%
Over 10.5 corners37%

Cards

4.3 expected

2.0 for Wolves and 2.3 for Watford

Over 3.5 cards63%
Over 4.5 cards44%
Over 5.5 cards27%

Shots

27.9 expected

17.6 for Wolves and 10.3 for Watford

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots75%
Over 24.5 shots65%

Fouls

22.0 expected

10.7 for Wolves and 11.3 for Watford

Over 20.5 fouls60%
Over 22.5 fouls44%
Over 24.5 fouls30%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.