Probably Football

Matches

Championship (England)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Preston1-1West Brom

The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a West Brom win (49%).

Preston vs West Brom

  1. Preston26%
  2. Draw25%
  3. West Brom49%

0.96 expected goals for Preston

1.85 expected goals for West Brom

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

West Brom has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Preston win at 26%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals78%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals49%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals31%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

5.9 for Preston and 4.5 for West Brom

  1. Over 8.5 corners66%
  2. Over 9.5 corners55%
  3. Over 10.5 corners46%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.9 for Preston and 2.0 for West Brom

  1. Over 3.5 cards56%
  2. Over 4.5 cards37%
  3. Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

24.7 expected

11.3 for Preston and 13.3 for West Brom

  1. Over 20.5 shots72%
  2. Over 22.5 shots60%
  3. Over 24.5 shots48%

Fouls

22.6 expected

11.9 for Preston and 10.7 for West Brom

  1. Over 20.5 fouls64%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls49%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls34%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.