Saturday 24 October, 09:00
Final score
Portsmouth2-1Millwall
The model gave this result 36%. Its most likely result was a Millwall win (37%).
Portsmouth vs Millwall
- Portsmouth36%
- Draw27%
- Millwall37%
1.11 expected goals for Portsmouth
1.28 expected goals for Millwall
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 10.8 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals70%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals45%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals22%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen
- Both teams score50%
- Portsmouth or draw63%
- Draw or Millwall64%
- No draw73%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.8 expected
6.3 for Portsmouth and 4.5 for Millwall
- Over 8.5 corners69%
- Over 9.5 corners59%
- Over 10.5 corners49%
Cards
4.5 expected
2.2 for Portsmouth and 2.3 for Millwall
- Over 3.5 cards65%
- Over 4.5 cards46%
- Over 5.5 cards29%
Shots
27.4 expected
17.0 for Portsmouth and 10.4 for Millwall
- Over 20.5 shots83%
- Over 22.5 shots74%
- Over 24.5 shots63%
Fouls
22.9 expected
11.2 for Portsmouth and 11.7 for Millwall
- Over 20.5 fouls67%
- Over 22.5 fouls52%
- Over 24.5 fouls37%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.