Charlton vs Norwich

Charlton31%
Draw25%
Norwich44%

1.16 expected goals for Charlton

1.71 expected goals for Norwich

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Norwich has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Charlton win at 31%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
Over 2.5 goals50%It happened
Over 3.5 goals32%It happened
Over 4.5 goals16%It did not happen

Both teams score53%
Charlton or draw56%
Draw or Norwich69%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

4.8 for Charlton and 4.7 for Norwich

Over 8.5 corners57%
Over 9.5 corners46%
Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.7 for Charlton and 2.2 for Norwich

Over 3.5 cards55%
Over 4.5 cards36%
Over 5.5 cards20%

Shots

24.4 expected

12.9 for Charlton and 11.6 for Norwich

Over 20.5 shots71%
Over 22.5 shots59%
Over 24.5 shots47%

Fouls

21.4 expected

11.1 for Charlton and 10.3 for Norwich

Over 20.5 fouls56%
Over 22.5 fouls40%
Over 24.5 fouls26%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.