Saturday 24 October, 09:00
Final score
Blackburn2-0Wrexham
The model's most likely result happened: a Blackburn win (38%).
Blackburn vs Wrexham
- Blackburn38%
- Draw26%
- Wrexham36%
1.33 expected goals for Blackburn
1.36 expected goals for Wrexham
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.2 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals28%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen
- Both teams score52%
- Blackburn or draw65%
- Draw or Wrexham62%
- No draw74%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.2 expected
5.6 for Blackburn and 4.6 for Wrexham
- Over 8.5 corners64%
- Over 9.5 corners54%
- Over 10.5 corners44%
Cards
4.2 expected
2.0 for Blackburn and 2.1 for Wrexham
- Over 3.5 cards60%
- Over 4.5 cards40%
- Over 5.5 cards24%
Shots
26.5 expected
15.3 for Blackburn and 11.1 for Wrexham
- Over 20.5 shots80%
- Over 22.5 shots70%
- Over 24.5 shots58%
Fouls
21.2 expected
10.2 for Blackburn and 11.1 for Wrexham
- Over 20.5 fouls54%
- Over 22.5 fouls38%
- Over 24.5 fouls25%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.