Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov

Rubin35%
Draw29%
Krylia Sovetov36%

1.14 expected goals for Rubin

1.26 expected goals for Krylia Sovetov

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.6 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
Over 1.5 goals70%It happened
Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals22%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Rubin or draw64%
Draw or Krylia Sovetov65%
No draw71%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.6 expected

5.2 for Rubin and 4.3 for Krylia Sovetov

Over 8.5 corners58%
Over 9.5 corners47%
Over 10.5 corners37%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.2 for Rubin and 2.1 for Krylia Sovetov

Over 3.5 cards64%
Over 4.5 cards45%
Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

25.9 expected

13.0 for Rubin and 12.9 for Krylia Sovetov

Over 20.5 shots78%
Over 22.5 shots67%
Over 24.5 shots56%

Fouls

29.4 expected

15.1 for Rubin and 14.3 for Krylia Sovetov

Over 20.5 fouls94%
Over 22.5 fouls88%
Over 24.5 fouls79%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.