Liège vs Patro Eisden

Liège32%
Draw23%
Patro Eisden45%

1.51 expected goals for Liège

1.66 expected goals for Patro Eisden

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Patro Eisden has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Liège win at 32%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals39%It happened
Over 4.5 goals21%It happened

Both teams score55%
Liège or draw55%
Draw or Patro Eisden68%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

5.7 for Liège and 4.5 for Patro Eisden

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners53%
Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

4.0 expected

2.0 for Liège and 2.0 for Patro Eisden

Over 3.5 cards56%
Over 4.5 cards37%
Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

26.8 expected

15.1 for Liège and 11.7 for Patro Eisden

Over 20.5 shots81%
Over 22.5 shots71%
Over 24.5 shots60%

Fouls

26.6 expected

11.6 for Liège and 15.0 for Patro Eisden

Over 20.5 fouls86%
Over 22.5 fouls76%
Over 24.5 fouls63%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.