AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA

AS Eupen29%
Draw24%
Beerschot VA47%

1.26 expected goals for AS Eupen

1.51 expected goals for Beerschot VA

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Beerschot VA has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a AS Eupen win at 29%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
Over 2.5 goals57%It happened
Over 3.5 goals30%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen

Both teams score56%
AS Eupen or draw53%
Draw or Beerschot VA71%
No draw76%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.2 for AS Eupen and 4.5 for Beerschot VA

Over 8.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners49%
Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.9 for AS Eupen and 2.3 for Beerschot VA

Over 3.5 cards61%
Over 4.5 cards42%
Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

23.5 expected

12.9 for AS Eupen and 10.6 for Beerschot VA

Over 20.5 shots66%
Over 22.5 shots54%
Over 24.5 shots41%

Fouls

24.4 expected

13.8 for AS Eupen and 10.6 for Beerschot VA

Over 20.5 fouls76%
Over 22.5 fouls62%
Over 24.5 fouls48%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.