Probably Football

Matches

Challenger Pro League (Belgium)

Final score

RSC Anderlecht II1-0K. Lierse S.K.

The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a K. Lierse S.K. win (48%).

RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K.

  1. RSC Anderlecht II29%
  2. Draw23%
  3. K. Lierse S.K.48%

1.37 expected goals for RSC Anderlecht II

1.65 expected goals for K. Lierse S.K.

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

K. Lierse S.K. has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a RSC Anderlecht II win at 29%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals81%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals57%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals36%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

6.1 for RSC Anderlecht II and 4.1 for K. Lierse S.K.

  1. Over 8.5 corners64%
  2. Over 9.5 corners54%
  3. Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.2 expected

2.1 for RSC Anderlecht II and 2.1 for K. Lierse S.K.

  1. Over 3.5 cards61%
  2. Over 4.5 cards42%
  3. Over 5.5 cards26%

Shots

26.3 expected

13.3 for RSC Anderlecht II and 12.9 for K. Lierse S.K.

  1. Over 20.5 shots79%
  2. Over 22.5 shots69%
  3. Over 24.5 shots58%

Fouls

26.2 expected

12.3 for RSC Anderlecht II and 13.9 for K. Lierse S.K.

  1. Over 20.5 fouls85%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls74%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls61%

Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is exactly what was published before the match.