Probably Football

Matches

Jupiler Pro League (Belgium)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

KVC Westerlo4-4SK Beveren

The model gave this result 23%. Its most likely result was a KVC Westerlo win (44%).

KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren

  1. KVC Westerlo44%
  2. Draw23%
  3. SK Beveren33%

1.94 expected goals for KVC Westerlo

1.60 expected goals for SK Beveren

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

KVC Westerlo has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a SK Beveren win at 33%. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, and both teams scoring, 62%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals87%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals61%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals47%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals28%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

4.6 for KVC Westerlo and 4.8 for SK Beveren

  1. Over 8.5 corners56%
  2. Over 9.5 corners45%
  3. Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.6 for KVC Westerlo and 2.0 for SK Beveren

  1. Over 3.5 cards49%
  2. Over 4.5 cards30%
  3. Over 5.5 cards16%

Shots

27.4 expected

17.1 for KVC Westerlo and 10.3 for SK Beveren

  1. Over 20.5 shots83%
  2. Over 22.5 shots73%
  3. Over 24.5 shots63%

Fouls

22.0 expected

11.5 for KVC Westerlo and 10.5 for SK Beveren

  1. Over 20.5 fouls60%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls45%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls30%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.