Probably Football

Matches

Jupiler Pro League (Belgium)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

RAAL La Louvière3-0Zulte Waregem

The model gave this result 24%. Its most likely result was a Zulte Waregem win (52%).

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem

  1. RAAL La Louvière24%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Zulte Waregem52%

1.10 expected goals for RAAL La Louvière

1.79 expected goals for Zulte Waregem

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Zulte Waregem has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a RAAL La Louvière win at 24%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

4.8 for RAAL La Louvière and 4.7 for Zulte Waregem

  1. Over 8.5 corners57%
  2. Over 9.5 corners46%
  3. Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

4.2 expected

2.1 for RAAL La Louvière and 2.1 for Zulte Waregem

  1. Over 3.5 cards60%
  2. Over 4.5 cards41%
  3. Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

25.7 expected

12.9 for RAAL La Louvière and 12.8 for Zulte Waregem

  1. Over 20.5 shots77%
  2. Over 22.5 shots66%
  3. Over 24.5 shots54%

Fouls

23.7 expected

12.6 for RAAL La Louvière and 11.1 for Zulte Waregem

  1. Over 20.5 fouls72%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls58%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls43%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.