Probably Football

Matches

Jupiler Pro League (Belgium)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

OH Leuven2-2Lommel United

The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a Lommel United win (40%).

OH Leuven vs Lommel United

  1. OH Leuven32%
  2. Draw28%
  3. Lommel United40%

1.10 expected goals for OH Leuven

1.28 expected goals for Lommel United

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Lommel United has the edge (40%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a OH Leuven win at 32%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals69%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals50%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals22%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.4 for OH Leuven and 4.7 for Lommel United

  1. Over 8.5 corners63%
  2. Over 9.5 corners53%
  3. Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

4.3 expected

2.2 for OH Leuven and 2.2 for Lommel United

  1. Over 3.5 cards63%
  2. Over 4.5 cards44%
  3. Over 5.5 cards27%

Shots

26.1 expected

15.6 for OH Leuven and 10.5 for Lommel United

  1. Over 20.5 shots78%
  2. Over 22.5 shots68%
  3. Over 24.5 shots56%

Fouls

22.8 expected

11.8 for OH Leuven and 11.0 for Lommel United

  1. Over 20.5 fouls66%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls51%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls36%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.