Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden

Club Brugge KV72%
Draw16%
St. Truiden12%

3.01 expected goals for Club Brugge KV

1.07 expected goals for St. Truiden

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Club Brugge KV the clear favourite: 72% to win. It expects 4.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 9.6 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals92%It happened
Over 2.5 goals63%It happened
Over 3.5 goals58%It happened
Over 4.5 goals39%It happened

Both teams score58%
Club Brugge KV or draw88%
Draw or St. Truiden28%
No draw84%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.6 expected

4.9 for Club Brugge KV and 4.7 for St. Truiden

Over 8.5 corners58%
Over 9.5 corners47%
Over 10.5 corners37%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.0 for Club Brugge KV and 2.4 for St. Truiden

Over 3.5 cards64%
Over 4.5 cards45%
Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

32.5 expected

17.2 for Club Brugge KV and 15.3 for St. Truiden

Over 20.5 shots94%
Over 22.5 shots90%
Over 24.5 shots83%

Fouls

22.4 expected

10.3 for Club Brugge KV and 12.2 for St. Truiden

Over 20.5 fouls63%
Over 22.5 fouls48%
Over 24.5 fouls33%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.