Manchester United vs Bournemouth

Manchester United34%
Draw25%
Bournemouth41%

1.49 expected goals for Manchester United

1.67 expected goals for Bournemouth

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 41%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 9.3 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
Over 2.5 goals58%It happened
Over 3.5 goals39%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen

Both teams score58%
Manchester United or draw59%
Draw or Bournemouth66%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.3 expected

5.3 for Manchester United and 4.0 for Bournemouth

Over 8.5 corners55%
Over 9.5 corners44%
Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.8 for Manchester United and 2.4 for Bournemouth

Over 3.5 cards61%
Over 4.5 cards42%
Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

25.9 expected

12.7 for Manchester United and 13.2 for Bournemouth

Over 20.5 shots77%
Over 22.5 shots67%
Over 24.5 shots55%

Fouls

23.6 expected

10.7 for Manchester United and 12.9 for Bournemouth

Over 20.5 fouls71%
Over 22.5 fouls57%
Over 24.5 fouls42%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.