Dundee vs Kilmarnock

Dundee54%
Draw23%
Kilmarnock23%

1.89 expected goals for Dundee

1.20 expected goals for Kilmarnock

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Dundee has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Kilmarnock win at 23%. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.7 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals37%It happened
Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Dundee or draw77%
Draw or Kilmarnock45%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.7 expected

5.7 for Dundee and 5.0 for Kilmarnock

Over 8.5 corners68%
Over 9.5 corners58%
Over 10.5 corners48%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.7 for Dundee and 2.2 for Kilmarnock

Over 3.5 cards54%
Over 4.5 cards35%
Over 5.5 cards20%

Shots

27.2 expected

14.5 for Dundee and 12.7 for Kilmarnock

Over 20.5 shots82%
Over 22.5 shots73%
Over 24.5 shots62%

Fouls

25.0 expected

13.1 for Dundee and 11.9 for Kilmarnock

Over 20.5 fouls79%
Over 22.5 fouls66%
Over 24.5 fouls52%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.