Aberdeen vs Falkirk

Aberdeen35%
Draw27%
Falkirk38%

1.27 expected goals for Aberdeen

1.32 expected goals for Falkirk

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 11.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals74%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals50%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Both teams score50%
Aberdeen or draw62%
Draw or Falkirk65%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.4 expected

6.9 for Aberdeen and 4.5 for Falkirk

Over 8.5 corners73%
Over 9.5 corners64%
Over 10.5 corners55%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for Aberdeen and 2.2 for Falkirk

Over 3.5 cards58%
Over 4.5 cards39%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

27.8 expected

17.5 for Aberdeen and 10.3 for Falkirk

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots75%
Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

25.9 expected

12.3 for Aberdeen and 13.6 for Falkirk

Over 20.5 fouls84%
Over 22.5 fouls72%
Over 24.5 fouls59%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.