Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian

Motherwell33%
Draw24%
Heart Of Midlothian43%

1.45 expected goals for Motherwell

1.66 expected goals for Heart Of Midlothian

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Heart Of Midlothian has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Motherwell win at 33%. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals38%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Motherwell or draw57%
Draw or Heart Of Midlothian67%
No draw76%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.5 expected

5.6 for Motherwell and 5.0 for Heart Of Midlothian

Over 8.5 corners67%
Over 9.5 corners57%
Over 10.5 corners47%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.8 for Motherwell and 2.0 for Heart Of Midlothian

Over 3.5 cards53%
Over 4.5 cards34%
Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

29.9 expected

13.8 for Motherwell and 16.2 for Heart Of Midlothian

Over 20.5 shots90%
Over 22.5 shots83%
Over 24.5 shots74%

Fouls

23.3 expected

12.1 for Motherwell and 11.2 for Heart Of Midlothian

Over 20.5 fouls69%
Over 22.5 fouls54%
Over 24.5 fouls39%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.