Hibernian vs Celtic

Hibernian22%
Draw22%
Celtic56%

1.17 expected goals for Hibernian

1.97 expected goals for Celtic

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Celtic the clear favourite: 56% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals38%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Hibernian or draw44%
Draw or Celtic78%
No draw78%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.8 expected

5.3 for Hibernian and 5.5 for Celtic

Over 8.5 corners69%
Over 9.5 corners59%
Over 10.5 corners49%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for Hibernian and 2.1 for Celtic

Over 3.5 cards58%
Over 4.5 cards38%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

27.8 expected

15.5 for Hibernian and 12.3 for Celtic

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots76%
Over 24.5 shots65%

Fouls

23.8 expected

12.2 for Hibernian and 11.7 for Celtic

Over 20.5 fouls72%
Over 22.5 fouls58%
Over 24.5 fouls43%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.