Falkirk vs Kilmarnock

Falkirk51%
Draw24%
Kilmarnock25%

1.75 expected goals for Falkirk

1.20 expected goals for Kilmarnock

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Falkirk has the edge (51%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Kilmarnock win at 25%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
Over 2.5 goals55%It happened
Over 3.5 goals34%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Falkirk or draw75%
Draw or Kilmarnock49%
No draw76%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.8 expected

5.6 for Falkirk and 5.2 for Kilmarnock

Over 8.5 corners68%
Over 9.5 corners59%
Over 10.5 corners49%

Cards

4.2 expected

2.1 for Falkirk and 2.1 for Kilmarnock

Over 3.5 cards61%
Over 4.5 cards41%
Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

25.9 expected

13.7 for Falkirk and 12.3 for Kilmarnock

Over 20.5 shots78%
Over 22.5 shots67%
Over 24.5 shots56%

Fouls

26.6 expected

13.8 for Falkirk and 12.7 for Kilmarnock

Over 20.5 fouls86%
Over 22.5 fouls76%
Over 24.5 fouls63%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.