Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen

Dundee Utd37%
Draw29%
Aberdeen34%

1.22 expected goals for Dundee Utd

1.14 expected goals for Aberdeen

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 11.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
Over 1.5 goals69%It happened
Over 2.5 goals47%It happened
Over 3.5 goals21%It happened
Over 4.5 goals9%It happened

Both teams score49%
Dundee Utd or draw66%
Draw or Aberdeen63%
No draw71%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.8 expected

6.7 for Dundee Utd and 5.1 for Aberdeen

Over 8.5 corners76%
Over 9.5 corners67%
Over 10.5 corners58%

Cards

4.2 expected

2.0 for Dundee Utd and 2.2 for Aberdeen

Over 3.5 cards61%
Over 4.5 cards42%
Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

28.3 expected

16.1 for Dundee Utd and 12.2 for Aberdeen

Over 20.5 shots86%
Over 22.5 shots77%
Over 24.5 shots67%

Fouls

23.3 expected

11.8 for Dundee Utd and 11.5 for Aberdeen

Over 20.5 fouls69%
Over 22.5 fouls55%
Over 24.5 fouls40%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.