Probably Football

Matches

J1 League (Japan)

Saturday 24 October, 05:00

Final score

Vissel Kobe0-0Machida Zelvia

The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a Machida Zelvia win (41%).

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia

  1. Vissel Kobe31%
  2. Draw28%
  3. Machida Zelvia41%

1.07 expected goals for Vissel Kobe

1.33 expected goals for Machida Zelvia

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Machida Zelvia has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Vissel Kobe win at 31%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.7 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals90%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals70%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals46%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals22%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.7 expected

5.2 for Vissel Kobe and 4.5 for Machida Zelvia

  1. Over 8.5 corners59%
  2. Over 9.5 corners48%
  3. Over 10.5 corners38%

Cards

3.5 expected

1.5 for Vissel Kobe and 2.0 for Machida Zelvia

  1. Over 3.5 cards46%
  2. Over 4.5 cards27%
  3. Over 5.5 cards14%

Shots

26.8 expected

15.2 for Vissel Kobe and 11.6 for Machida Zelvia

  1. Over 20.5 shots81%
  2. Over 22.5 shots71%
  3. Over 24.5 shots60%

Fouls

21.3 expected

10.4 for Vissel Kobe and 10.9 for Machida Zelvia

  1. Over 20.5 fouls55%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls39%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls25%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.