Saturday 24 October, 05:00
Final score
Nagoya Grampus1-1Yokohama F. Marinos
The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a Yokohama F. Marinos win (40%).
Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos
- Nagoya Grampus35%
- Draw25%
- Yokohama F. Marinos40%
1.45 expected goals for Nagoya Grampus
1.57 expected goals for Yokohama F. Marinos
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 9.3 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals52%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals36%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen
- Both teams score55%
- Nagoya Grampus or draw60%
- Draw or Yokohama F. Marinos66%
- No draw75%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.3 expected
5.3 for Nagoya Grampus and 3.9 for Yokohama F. Marinos
- Over 8.5 corners54%
- Over 9.5 corners44%
- Over 10.5 corners34%
Cards
4.0 expected
1.9 for Nagoya Grampus and 2.1 for Yokohama F. Marinos
- Over 3.5 cards56%
- Over 4.5 cards37%
- Over 5.5 cards21%
Shots
24.3 expected
13.0 for Nagoya Grampus and 11.3 for Yokohama F. Marinos
- Over 20.5 shots70%
- Over 22.5 shots58%
- Over 24.5 shots46%
Fouls
24.8 expected
11.7 for Nagoya Grampus and 13.1 for Yokohama F. Marinos
- Over 20.5 fouls78%
- Over 22.5 fouls65%
- Over 24.5 fouls51%
Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.