Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama

Kawasaki Frontale47%
Draw24%
Fagiano Okayama29%

1.92 expected goals for Kawasaki Frontale

1.31 expected goals for Fagiano Okayama

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Kawasaki Frontale has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Fagiano Okayama win at 29%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
Over 3.5 goals40%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen

Both teams score56%
Kawasaki Frontale or draw71%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama53%
No draw76%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

5.3 for Kawasaki Frontale and 4.2 for Fagiano Okayama

Over 8.5 corners57%
Over 9.5 corners47%
Over 10.5 corners37%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.9 for Kawasaki Frontale and 2.2 for Fagiano Okayama

Over 3.5 cards57%
Over 4.5 cards38%
Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

28.1 expected

17.6 for Kawasaki Frontale and 10.5 for Fagiano Okayama

Over 20.5 shots85%
Over 22.5 shots76%
Over 24.5 shots66%

Fouls

23.8 expected

12.1 for Kawasaki Frontale and 11.7 for Fagiano Okayama

Over 20.5 fouls72%
Over 22.5 fouls58%
Over 24.5 fouls43%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.