Saturday 24 October, 05:00
Final score
FC Tokyo6-0Mito Hollyhock
The model's most likely result happened: a FC Tokyo win (60%).
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock
- FC Tokyo60%
- Draw23%
- Mito Hollyhock17%
1.96 expected goals for FC Tokyo
0.75 expected goals for Mito Hollyhock
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes FC Tokyo the clear favourite: 60% to win. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 9.6 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals49%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals29%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals14%It happened
- Both teams score49%
- FC Tokyo or draw83%
- Draw or Mito Hollyhock39%
- No draw77%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.6 expected
5.8 for FC Tokyo and 3.7 for Mito Hollyhock
- Over 8.5 corners58%
- Over 9.5 corners47%
- Over 10.5 corners37%
Cards
3.8 expected
1.9 for FC Tokyo and 1.9 for Mito Hollyhock
- Over 3.5 cards53%
- Over 4.5 cards33%
- Over 5.5 cards19%
Shots
26.4 expected
18.6 for FC Tokyo and 7.8 for Mito Hollyhock
- Over 20.5 shots78%
- Over 22.5 shots68%
- Over 24.5 shots56%
Fouls
22.3 expected
11.2 for FC Tokyo and 11.1 for Mito Hollyhock
- Over 20.5 fouls62%
- Over 22.5 fouls47%
- Over 24.5 fouls32%
Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.