Probably Football

Matches

J1 League (Japan)

Wednesday 21 October, 05:00

Final score

Yokohama F. Marinos2-2Tokyo Verdy

The model gave this result 23%. Its most likely result was a Yokohama F. Marinos win (61%).

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy

  1. Yokohama F. Marinos61%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Tokyo Verdy16%

1.88 expected goals for Yokohama F. Marinos

0.69 expected goals for Tokyo Verdy

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the clear favourite: 61% to win. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%. And about 9.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals26%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.1 expected

4.9 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 4.2 for Tokyo Verdy

  1. Over 8.5 corners53%
  2. Over 9.5 corners42%
  3. Over 10.5 corners32%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.9 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 2.3 for Tokyo Verdy

  1. Over 3.5 cards60%
  2. Over 4.5 cards40%
  3. Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

24.3 expected

15.2 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 9.1 for Tokyo Verdy

  1. Over 20.5 shots70%
  2. Over 22.5 shots58%
  3. Over 24.5 shots46%

Fouls

25.5 expected

11.8 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 13.8 for Tokyo Verdy

  1. Over 20.5 fouls82%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls70%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls56%

Saved before kickoff, on 20 October at 20:04 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.