Urawa vs JEF United Chiba

Urawa54%
Draw23%
JEF United Chiba23%

2.02 expected goals for Urawa

1.05 expected goals for JEF United Chiba

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Urawa has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a JEF United Chiba win at 23%. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
Over 2.5 goals52%It happened
Over 3.5 goals37%It happened
Over 4.5 goals20%It happened

Both teams score53%
Urawa or draw77%
Draw or JEF United Chiba45%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

5.5 for Urawa and 4.0 for JEF United Chiba

Over 8.5 corners57%
Over 9.5 corners47%
Over 10.5 corners37%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.6 for Urawa and 2.1 for JEF United Chiba

Over 3.5 cards52%
Over 4.5 cards32%
Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

27.5 expected

17.8 for Urawa and 9.7 for JEF United Chiba

Over 20.5 shots83%
Over 22.5 shots73%
Over 24.5 shots63%

Fouls

24.5 expected

10.5 for Urawa and 14.0 for JEF United Chiba

Over 20.5 fouls76%
Over 22.5 fouls63%
Over 24.5 fouls48%

Saved before kickoff, on 20 October at 20:04 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.