Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock

Fagiano Okayama42%
Draw27%
Mito Hollyhock31%

1.47 expected goals for Fagiano Okayama

1.11 expected goals for Mito Hollyhock

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Fagiano Okayama has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Mito Hollyhock win at 31%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals74%It happened
Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Fagiano Okayama or draw69%
Draw or Mito Hollyhock58%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

5.1 for Fagiano Okayama and 4.1 for Mito Hollyhock

Over 8.5 corners54%
Over 9.5 corners43%
Over 10.5 corners33%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.9 for Fagiano Okayama and 2.2 for Mito Hollyhock

Over 3.5 cards58%
Over 4.5 cards38%
Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

24.1 expected

14.2 for Fagiano Okayama and 9.9 for Mito Hollyhock

Over 20.5 shots69%
Over 22.5 shots57%
Over 24.5 shots45%

Fouls

22.3 expected

11.7 for Fagiano Okayama and 10.7 for Mito Hollyhock

Over 20.5 fouls62%
Over 22.5 fouls47%
Over 24.5 fouls32%

Saved before kickoff, on 20 October at 20:04 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.