Probably Football

Matches

J1 League (Japan)

Wednesday 21 October, 05:00

Final score

Kawasaki Frontale2-1Vissel Kobe

The model gave this result 30%. Its most likely result was a Vissel Kobe win (46%).

Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe

  1. Kawasaki Frontale30%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Vissel Kobe46%

1.37 expected goals for Kawasaki Frontale

1.85 expected goals for Vissel Kobe

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Vissel Kobe has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Kawasaki Frontale win at 30%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 9.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals40%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.1 expected

5.2 for Kawasaki Frontale and 4.0 for Vissel Kobe

  1. Over 8.5 corners53%
  2. Over 9.5 corners42%
  3. Over 10.5 corners33%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.8 for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.8 for Vissel Kobe

  1. Over 3.5 cards49%
  2. Over 4.5 cards30%
  3. Over 5.5 cards16%

Shots

27.8 expected

15.6 for Kawasaki Frontale and 12.1 for Vissel Kobe

  1. Over 20.5 shots84%
  2. Over 22.5 shots75%
  3. Over 24.5 shots65%

Fouls

22.4 expected

12.3 for Kawasaki Frontale and 10.1 for Vissel Kobe

  1. Over 20.5 fouls63%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls47%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls33%

Saved before kickoff, on 20 October at 20:04 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.