Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka

Avispa Fukuoka29%
Draw27%
Gamba Osaka44%

1.07 expected goals for Avispa Fukuoka

1.47 expected goals for Gamba Osaka

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Gamba Osaka has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Avispa Fukuoka win at 29%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
Over 2.5 goals48%It happened
Over 3.5 goals25%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals11%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Avispa Fukuoka or draw56%
Draw or Gamba Osaka71%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

5.3 for Avispa Fukuoka and 4.1 for Gamba Osaka

Over 8.5 corners56%
Over 9.5 corners45%
Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

4.0 expected

2.0 for Avispa Fukuoka and 2.0 for Gamba Osaka

Over 3.5 cards57%
Over 4.5 cards37%
Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

26.9 expected

13.1 for Avispa Fukuoka and 13.8 for Gamba Osaka

Over 20.5 shots81%
Over 22.5 shots72%
Over 24.5 shots61%

Fouls

24.5 expected

12.2 for Avispa Fukuoka and 12.3 for Gamba Osaka

Over 20.5 fouls77%
Over 22.5 fouls63%
Over 24.5 fouls49%

Saved before kickoff, on 20 October at 20:04 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.