Saturday 24 October, 10:00
Final score
BSC Young Boys2-0FC ST. Gallen
The model's most likely result happened: a BSC Young Boys win (52%).
BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen
- BSC Young Boys52%
- Draw23%
- FC ST. Gallen25%
2.81 expected goals for BSC Young Boys
1.84 expected goals for FC ST. Gallen
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
BSC Young Boys has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a FC ST. Gallen win at 25%. It expects 4.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 77% chance, and both teams scoring, 74%. And about 10.2 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals99%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals95%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals77%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals68%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals50%It did not happen
- Both teams score74%
- BSC Young Boys or draw75%
- Draw or FC ST. Gallen48%
- No draw77%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.2 expected
5.5 for BSC Young Boys and 4.8 for FC ST. Gallen
- Over 8.5 corners64%
- Over 9.5 corners54%
- Over 10.5 corners44%
Cards
4.5 expected
2.1 for BSC Young Boys and 2.4 for FC ST. Gallen
- Over 3.5 cards66%
- Over 4.5 cards47%
- Over 5.5 cards30%
Shots
31.0 expected
17.1 for BSC Young Boys and 13.8 for FC ST. Gallen
- Over 20.5 shots92%
- Over 22.5 shots86%
- Over 24.5 shots78%
Fouls
25.0 expected
12.2 for BSC Young Boys and 12.8 for FC ST. Gallen
- Over 20.5 fouls79%
- Over 22.5 fouls66%
- Over 24.5 fouls52%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.