Probably Football

Matches

Super League (Switzerland)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

BSC Young Boys2-0FC ST. Gallen

The model's most likely result happened: a BSC Young Boys win (52%).

BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen

  1. BSC Young Boys52%
  2. Draw23%
  3. FC ST. Gallen25%

2.81 expected goals for BSC Young Boys

1.84 expected goals for FC ST. Gallen

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

BSC Young Boys has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a FC ST. Gallen win at 25%. It expects 4.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 77% chance, and both teams scoring, 74%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals99%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals95%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals77%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals68%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals50%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

5.5 for BSC Young Boys and 4.8 for FC ST. Gallen

  1. Over 8.5 corners64%
  2. Over 9.5 corners54%
  3. Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.1 for BSC Young Boys and 2.4 for FC ST. Gallen

  1. Over 3.5 cards66%
  2. Over 4.5 cards47%
  3. Over 5.5 cards30%

Shots

31.0 expected

17.1 for BSC Young Boys and 13.8 for FC ST. Gallen

  1. Over 20.5 shots92%
  2. Over 22.5 shots86%
  3. Over 24.5 shots78%

Fouls

25.0 expected

12.2 for BSC Young Boys and 12.8 for FC ST. Gallen

  1. Over 20.5 fouls79%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls66%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls52%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.