Saturday 24 October, 10:00
Final score
FC Sion1-0Lausanne
The model's most likely result happened: a FC Sion win (62%).
FC Sion vs Lausanne
- FC Sion62%
- Draw24%
- Lausanne14%
2.26 expected goals for FC Sion
0.85 expected goals for Lausanne
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes FC Sion the clear favourite: 62% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 10.4 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals82%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals58%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals38%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen
- Both teams score59%
- FC Sion or draw86%
- Draw or Lausanne38%
- No draw76%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.4 expected
5.9 for FC Sion and 4.5 for Lausanne
- Over 8.5 corners65%
- Over 9.5 corners55%
- Over 10.5 corners45%
Cards
4.0 expected
1.8 for FC Sion and 2.2 for Lausanne
- Over 3.5 cards56%
- Over 4.5 cards37%
- Over 5.5 cards21%
Shots
28.5 expected
18.4 for FC Sion and 10.1 for Lausanne
- Over 20.5 shots86%
- Over 22.5 shots77%
- Over 24.5 shots68%
Fouls
26.2 expected
11.2 for FC Sion and 15.0 for Lausanne
- Over 20.5 fouls85%
- Over 22.5 fouls74%
- Over 24.5 fouls60%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.