Probably Football

Matches

Super League (Switzerland)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

FC Sion1-0Lausanne

The model's most likely result happened: a FC Sion win (62%).

FC Sion vs Lausanne

  1. FC Sion62%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Lausanne14%

2.26 expected goals for FC Sion

0.85 expected goals for Lausanne

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes FC Sion the clear favourite: 62% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals82%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals58%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals38%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

5.9 for FC Sion and 4.5 for Lausanne

  1. Over 8.5 corners65%
  2. Over 9.5 corners55%
  3. Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.8 for FC Sion and 2.2 for Lausanne

  1. Over 3.5 cards56%
  2. Over 4.5 cards37%
  3. Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

28.5 expected

18.4 for FC Sion and 10.1 for Lausanne

  1. Over 20.5 shots86%
  2. Over 22.5 shots77%
  3. Over 24.5 shots68%

Fouls

26.2 expected

11.2 for FC Sion and 15.0 for Lausanne

  1. Over 20.5 fouls85%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls74%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls60%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.