Probably Football

Matches

Super League (Switzerland)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

FC Basel 18930-0Grasshoppers

The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a FC Basel 1893 win (51%).

FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers

  1. FC Basel 189351%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Grasshoppers24%

2.07 expected goals for FC Basel 1893

1.28 expected goals for Grasshoppers

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

FC Basel 1893 has the edge (51%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Grasshoppers win at 24%. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance, and both teams scoring, 62%. And about 11.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals85%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals60%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals43%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals25%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.2 expected

5.5 for FC Basel 1893 and 5.6 for Grasshoppers

  1. Over 8.5 corners72%
  2. Over 9.5 corners62%
  3. Over 10.5 corners53%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.2 for FC Basel 1893 and 2.3 for Grasshoppers

  1. Over 3.5 cards66%
  2. Over 4.5 cards47%
  3. Over 5.5 cards30%

Shots

32.6 expected

15.7 for FC Basel 1893 and 17.0 for Grasshoppers

  1. Over 20.5 shots94%
  2. Over 22.5 shots90%
  3. Over 24.5 shots83%

Fouls

25.2 expected

11.8 for FC Basel 1893 and 13.4 for Grasshoppers

  1. Over 20.5 fouls80%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls68%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls54%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.