Rennes vs Strasbourg

Rennes43%
Draw22%
Strasbourg35%

2.18 expected goals for Rennes

1.92 expected goals for Strasbourg

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Rennes has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 22% and a Strasbourg win at 35%. It expects 4.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 66% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals92%It happened
Over 2.5 goals66%It happened
Over 3.5 goals59%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals39%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Rennes or draw65%
Draw or Strasbourg57%
No draw78%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

6.5 for Rennes and 3.5 for Strasbourg

Over 8.5 corners62%
Over 9.5 corners52%
Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

4.3 expected

2.0 for Rennes and 2.2 for Strasbourg

Over 3.5 cards62%
Over 4.5 cards42%
Over 5.5 cards26%

Shots

30.1 expected

19.8 for Rennes and 10.3 for Strasbourg

Over 20.5 shots89%
Over 22.5 shots83%
Over 24.5 shots74%

Fouls

22.6 expected

10.8 for Rennes and 11.7 for Strasbourg

Over 20.5 fouls64%
Over 22.5 fouls49%
Over 24.5 fouls34%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.