Marseille vs Le Havre

Marseille55%
Draw24%
Le Havre21%

1.80 expected goals for Marseille

0.94 expected goals for Le Havre

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Marseille the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
Over 2.5 goals53%It happened
Over 3.5 goals30%It happened
Over 4.5 goals14%It happened

Both teams score56%
Marseille or draw79%
Draw or Le Havre46%
No draw76%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

5.3 for Marseille and 4.2 for Le Havre

Over 8.5 corners57%
Over 9.5 corners47%
Over 10.5 corners37%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.8 for Marseille and 2.2 for Le Havre

Over 3.5 cards55%
Over 4.5 cards36%
Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

27.6 expected

14.2 for Marseille and 13.4 for Le Havre

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots75%
Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

25.5 expected

13.1 for Marseille and 12.5 for Le Havre

Over 20.5 fouls82%
Over 22.5 fouls70%
Over 24.5 fouls56%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.