Saint Etienne vs Nantes

Saint Etienne54%
Draw26%
Nantes20%

1.95 expected goals for Saint Etienne

1.01 expected goals for Nantes

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Saint Etienne has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Nantes win at 20%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 8.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals80%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals49%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals34%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Saint Etienne or draw80%
Draw or Nantes46%
No draw74%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.8 expected

4.5 for Saint Etienne and 4.3 for Nantes

Over 8.5 corners50%
Over 9.5 corners39%
Over 10.5 corners30%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for Saint Etienne and 2.2 for Nantes

Over 3.5 cards59%
Over 4.5 cards39%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

23.4 expected

13.7 for Saint Etienne and 9.7 for Nantes

Over 20.5 shots65%
Over 22.5 shots53%
Over 24.5 shots40%

Fouls

30.1 expected

14.8 for Saint Etienne and 15.3 for Nantes

Over 20.5 fouls95%
Over 22.5 fouls90%
Over 24.5 fouls82%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.