Probably Football

Matches

Ligue 2 (France)

Friday 23 October, 13:00

Final score

Sochaux1-3Annecy

The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a Sochaux win (36%).

Sochaux vs Annecy

  1. Sochaux36%
  2. Draw30%
  3. Annecy34%

1.14 expected goals for Sochaux

1.19 expected goals for Annecy

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals68%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals44%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals21%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.0 for Sochaux and 5.1 for Annecy

  1. Over 8.5 corners63%
  2. Over 9.5 corners53%
  3. Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.7 for Sochaux and 2.4 for Annecy

  1. Over 3.5 cards59%
  2. Over 4.5 cards39%
  3. Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

23.2 expected

11.7 for Sochaux and 11.5 for Annecy

  1. Over 20.5 shots64%
  2. Over 22.5 shots51%
  3. Over 24.5 shots39%

Fouls

28.6 expected

12.2 for Sochaux and 16.4 for Annecy

  1. Over 20.5 fouls92%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls85%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls74%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.