PAU vs Grenoble

PAU39%
Draw29%
Grenoble32%

1.37 expected goals for PAU

1.19 expected goals for Grenoble

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.7 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
Over 2.5 goals47%It happened
Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
PAU or draw68%
Draw or Grenoble60%
No draw71%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.7 expected

5.8 for PAU and 3.9 for Grenoble

Over 8.5 corners59%
Over 9.5 corners48%
Over 10.5 corners38%

Cards

4.4 expected

1.9 for PAU and 2.4 for Grenoble

Over 3.5 cards63%
Over 4.5 cards44%
Over 5.5 cards27%

Shots

26.9 expected

17.8 for PAU and 9.1 for Grenoble

Over 20.5 shots81%
Over 22.5 shots71%
Over 24.5 shots60%

Fouls

29.9 expected

14.6 for PAU and 15.2 for Grenoble

Over 20.5 fouls95%
Over 22.5 fouls89%
Over 24.5 fouls81%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.