Probably Football

Matches

Eredivisie (Netherlands)

Sunday 25 October, 08:30

Final score

PSV Eindhoven1-1Feyenoord

The model gave this result 23%. Its most likely result was a PSV Eindhoven win (42%).

PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord

  1. PSV Eindhoven42%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Feyenoord35%

2.18 expected goals for PSV Eindhoven

1.94 expected goals for Feyenoord

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 42%. It expects 4.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 69% chance, and both teams scoring, 73%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals92%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals69%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals59%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals40%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

5.6 for PSV Eindhoven and 4.8 for Feyenoord

  1. Over 8.5 corners65%
  2. Over 9.5 corners55%
  3. Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.5 for PSV Eindhoven and 2.1 for Feyenoord

  1. Over 3.5 cards48%
  2. Over 4.5 cards29%
  3. Over 5.5 cards15%

Shots

29.5 expected

14.6 for PSV Eindhoven and 14.9 for Feyenoord

  1. Over 20.5 shots89%
  2. Over 22.5 shots82%
  3. Over 24.5 shots73%

Fouls

24.3 expected

13.0 for PSV Eindhoven and 11.3 for Feyenoord

  1. Over 20.5 fouls75%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls62%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls47%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.