GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar

GO Ahead Eagles40%
Draw25%
Telstar35%

1.77 expected goals for GO Ahead Eagles

1.59 expected goals for Telstar

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 62%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
Over 2.5 goals62%It happened
Over 3.5 goals43%It happened
Over 4.5 goals25%It happened

Both teams score62%
GO Ahead Eagles or draw65%
Draw or Telstar60%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

5.8 for GO Ahead Eagles and 4.2 for Telstar

Over 8.5 corners62%
Over 9.5 corners51%
Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

3.7 expected

1.7 for GO Ahead Eagles and 2.0 for Telstar

Over 3.5 cards51%
Over 4.5 cards32%
Over 5.5 cards17%

Shots

27.7 expected

16.4 for GO Ahead Eagles and 11.4 for Telstar

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots75%
Over 24.5 shots65%

Fouls

21.0 expected

10.6 for GO Ahead Eagles and 10.4 for Telstar

Over 20.5 fouls52%
Over 22.5 fouls36%
Over 24.5 fouls23%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.