Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo

Dordrecht25%
Draw22%
VVV Venlo53%

1.33 expected goals for Dordrecht

2.38 expected goals for VVV Venlo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

VVV Venlo has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 22% and a Dordrecht win at 25%. It expects 3.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%. And about 9.3 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
Over 1.5 goals89%It happened
Over 2.5 goals62%It happened
Over 3.5 goals51%It happened
Over 4.5 goals31%It happened

Both teams score60%
Dordrecht or draw47%
Draw or VVV Venlo75%
No draw78%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.3 expected

5.0 for Dordrecht and 4.3 for VVV Venlo

Over 8.5 corners55%
Over 9.5 corners44%
Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

4.1 expected

2.0 for Dordrecht and 2.1 for VVV Venlo

Over 3.5 cards59%
Over 4.5 cards39%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

25.9 expected

12.6 for Dordrecht and 13.4 for VVV Venlo

Over 20.5 shots78%
Over 22.5 shots67%
Over 24.5 shots56%

Fouls

27.3 expected

14.3 for Dordrecht and 13.0 for VVV Venlo

Over 20.5 fouls88%
Over 22.5 fouls79%
Over 24.5 fouls67%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.